For a while, the US Presidential election odds were fluctuating as wildly as America’s stock market. This past week both the betting board and Dow numbers were somewhat more stable. And that is no accident. At the end of the day the election, as always, will be decided most of all based on how the economy is doing in relation to where the COVID-19 crisis is at that time.
COVID-19 remains the ultimate wild card with the possibility of a second or even third wave of the virus. Along the same lines, progress on a treatment and vaccine will have a major effect on how that translates into the job market. With all of that in mind and more let’s examine the latest betting angles and analysis for the 2020 US Presidential election.
2020 US Presidential Election Odds and Analysis
The past week was the most stable on the betting board since COVID-19 wreaked its havoc. There is a sense that things will be getting back to normal sooner, rather than later, and that the economy will quickly get jumpstarted by summer. But the economy is not all that will go into who wins in November. There are factors bubbling under the surface that could explode in a moment’s notice.
Donald Trump
The President had a solid week in which he continued to demonstrate that he is trying to find ways to re-open the economy. His press conferences, while getting good TV ratings and exposing “objective journalists” as the Democrat publicists that they have always been, are seen by some as repetitive and too long. Yet they are also informative with experts also briefing the public. And the public is watching.
The “Experts”
A larger number of Americans are becoming irritated with doctors Anthony Fauci and Deborah Birx, who attend most of the COVID-19 media briefings with Trump. In particular Fauci was dismissive of the coronavirus early in the year and has repeatedly joined with Birx to “move the goal posts” on the model numbers and formulas that have been used to make policy. Policy that has decimated the American economy.
The original models predicting millions of deaths were totally wrong and now Americans are questioning whether it was wise to crash the economy on purpose based on those absurdly incorrect formulas. As for the Democrats and their constant demands to listen to the “scientists” and “experts” this is not selling nearly as well as it did at the start of the crisis. That’s because the “experts” have been so dreadfully wrong with horrific consequences to the populace.
Andrew Cuomo
The New York governor has become a hero of the liberal media and with many more Democrats that see him as a better candidate that presumed Presidential nominee Joe Biden. But Cuomo made an adamant denial that he is interested in leaving New York. But as the old adage goes, you can tell when a politician is lying when they move their lips. One suspects there is more to come from Cuomo as events unfold.
Gavin Newsome
The California governor, like Cuomo, has praised Trump for his responses to the crisis. Some see this as a potential Presidential play by Newsome in his own right.
Joe Biden
Despite the best attempts of the “news” media to provide cover for Biden, increasing allegations of sexual misconduct and unwanted advances towards staffers are starting to surface. Most interesting of all is that the Democrat’s previous blanket statement that “All women are to be believed” and phony obnoxious grandstanding against Supreme Court justice Brett Kavanaugh have been exposed for the hideous hypocrisy that they always were.
2020 US Presidential Election Winning Party:
Democrats +104
Republicans -124
Other +25000
2020 Democrat Presidential Nominee Odds:
Elizabeth Warren +20000, Hillary Clinton +2150, Michelle Obama +6500, Joe Biden -940, Kamala Harris +8000, Andrew Cuomo +2000, Amy Klobuchar +25000
2020 Democrat Vice Presidential Nominee Odds:
Kamala Harris +115, Amy Klobuchar +425, Stacey Abrams +1200, Elizabeth Warren +1600, Hillary Clinton +4000, Val Demings +3300, Tammy Baldwin +7500, Tammy Duckworth +6000, Michelle Obama +2000, Gretchen Whitmer +610, Catherine Cortez Masto +2000, Michelle Grisham +7500, Susan Rice +12000, Maggie Hassan +16500, Mitt Romney +11000, Andrew Cuomo +8000, Tulsi Gabbard +10500, Sally Yates +12000, Keisha Lance Bottoms +10500, Terri Sewell +9000
2020 US Presidential Election Odds:
Donald Trump -131, Joe Biden +135, Hillary Clinton +5500, Mike Pence +8000, Nikki Haley +16000, Kamala Harris +16500, Michelle Obama +22000, Andrew Cuomo +3452
(US Political Odds provided by BookMaker.eu)
